Skip to content Our mission Focus areas Artificial Intelligence Biotechnology Nuclear Weapons Our work Our work overview Policy and Research Futures Communications Grantmaking Recent projects FLI AI Safety Index: Winter 2025 Edition Policy & Research Control Inversion Communications Statement on Superintelligence Communications Creative Contest: Keep The Future Human Communications Our content Articles, Podcasts, Newsletters, Resources, and more. About us About us overview Our people Careers Donate Finances Contact us Take action Language English Some translations are machine-generated. Contact us to report any issues, or to submit a new translation of our content. Search for: All Podcast Episodes Tamay Besiroglu on AI in 2030: Scaling, Automation, and AI Agents Published 11 October, 2024 Video Tamay Besiroglu joins the podcast to discuss scaling, AI capabilities in 2030, breakthroughs in AI agents and planning, automating work, the uncertainties of investing in AI, and scaling laws for inference-time compute. Here's the report we discuss in the episode. Timestamps: 00:00 How important is scaling? 08:03 How capable will AIs be in 2030? 18:33 AI agents, reasoning, and planning 23:39 Automating coding and mathematics 31:26 Uncertainty about investing in AI 40:34 Gap between investment and returns 45:30 Compute, software and data 51:54 Inference-time compute 01:08:49 Returns to software R&D 01:19:22 Limits to expanding compute Podcast Related episodes If you enjoyed this episode, you might also like: 23 December, 2025 How Humans Could Lose Power Without an AI Takeover (with David Duvenaud) Play 12 December, 2025 Why the AI Race Undermines Safety (with Steven Adler) Play 27 November, 2025 Why OpenAI Is Trying to Silence Its Critics (with Tyler Johnston) Play 14 November, 2025 We’re Not Ready for AGI (with Will MacAskill) Play All episodes Sign up for the Future of Life Institute newsletter Join 40,000+ others receiving periodic updates on our work and focus areas. View previous editions Steering transformative technology towards benefiting life and away from extreme large-scale risks. Our Mission Focus areas Artificial Intelligence Biotechnology Nuclear Weapons Our work Policy & Research Futures Communications Grantmaking Our content Articles Podcasts Newsletters Open letters About us Our people Our history Careers Donate Finances FAQs Contact us Accessibility Media room Report a broken link Accessibility Media room Report a broken link © 2026 Future of Life Institute. All rights reserved. Visit our Facebook Visit our Twitter Visit our LinkedIn Visit our YouTube channel angle-down play-circle cloud magnifier cross arrow-up arrow_back arrow_forward business_center memory attach_money monetization_on wifi_tethering mail av_timer library_books play_arrow recent_actors account_balance_wallet fingerprint gavel language linkedin facebook pinterest youtube rss twitter instagram facebook-blank rss-blank linkedin-blank pinterest youtube twitter instagram