Tweet by Richard Ngo:

My timelines are “we’re close enough to AGI that we can no longer meaningfully talk about AGI as a single point”.

Instead I think about 1-minute AGIs, 1-hour AGIs, 1-day AGIs, 1-month AGIs, etc. We basically have the first; I’m expecting maybe 2-5 years between each I mentioned. https://t.co/RgVHIKNCa8