Tweet by Benjamin Todd:

Why can AIs code for 1h but not 10h?

A simple explanation: if there's a 10% chance of error per 10min step (say), the success rate is:

1h: 53%
4h: 8%
10h: 0.002%@tobyordoxford has tested this 'constant error rate' theory and shown it's a good fit for the data

chance of… pic.twitter.com/wPixwpGOaf