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More Thoughts About AGI

Complete Created: Jan 6, 09:06 PM (00:10:09)

Model: Claude Opus 4.5 · Target: 500 words

Notion Page: https://www.notion.so/More-Thoughts-About-AGI-2504c916374a800a92f0cf7c92e45c4e

Summary (from 50,000 words, truncated from 526,284)

Resources (265 fetched, 65 errors)

Type URL / Title Status Size Words Files
notion https://www.notion.so/More-Thoughts-About-AGI-2504c916374a80...
More Thoughts About AGI
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Faster Horses - by Harry Law - Cosmos Institute
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Insights into Claude Opus 4.5 from Pokémon — LessWrong
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Cognition all the way down 2.0: neuroscience beyond neurons in the diverse intelligence era | Synthese
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42 notes on AI & work - by Jasmine Sun
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I got fooled by AI-for-science hype—here's what it taught me
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Recent AI model progress feels mostly like bullshit — LessWrong
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What artificial intelligence can do for a small independent hotel
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LLM Daydreaming · Gwern.net
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Epicycles All The Way Down - by Rohit Krishnan
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- YouTube
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[2502.05167] NoLiMa: Long-Context Evaluation Beyond Literal Matching
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Holden Karnofsky on dozens of amazing opportunities to make AI safer — and all his AGI takes | 80,000 Hours
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Autonomous Organizations: Vending Bench & Beyond, w/ Lukas Petersson & Axel Backlund of Andon Labs - Pocket Casts
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webpage https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/andrej-karpathy
Andrej Karpathy — AGI is still a decade away
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When is better to think without words? - by Henrik Karlsson
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AGI's Last Bottlenecks | AI Frontiers
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Tweet by Toby Ord
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Inference Scaling Reshapes AI Governance — Toby Ord
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Tweet by Toby Ord
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Bending The Curve - by Zvi Mowshowitz
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webpage https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/thoughts-on-sutton
Some thoughts on the Sutton interview - by Dwarkesh Patel
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webpage https://www.interconnects.ai/p/thoughts-on-the-curve
Thoughts on The Curve - by Nathan Lambert - Interconnects
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Import AI 430: Emergence in video models; Unitree backdoor; preventative strikes to take down AGI projects
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Tweet by Steve Newman
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Tweet by Steve Newman
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The huge potential implications of long-context inference
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The Startup Powering The Data Behind AGI - Pocket Casts
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Tweet by Ethan Mollick
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Tweet by Martin
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Is "human-in-the-loop" a luxury for the privileged? | Tiago C. Peixoto posted on the topic | LinkedIn
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My AGI timeline updates from GPT-5 (and 2025 so far) — LessWrong
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Import AI 425: iPhone video generation; subtle misalignment; making open weight models safe through surgical deletion
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Contra Dwarkesh on Continual Learning - by Nathan Lambert
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GPT-5: a small step for intelligence, a giant leap for normal people
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tokens are getting more expensive - by Ethan Ding
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AI #128: Four Hours Until Probably Not The Apocalypse
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Almost anything you give sustained attention to will begin to loop on itself and bloom
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State of play of AI progress (and related brakes on an intelligence explosion)
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The Mathematical Foundations o… - Machine Learning Street Talk (MLST) - Apple Podcasts
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Will LLMs Generalize?
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My model of what is going on with LLMs — LessWrong
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Have LLMs Generated Novel Insights? — LessWrong
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2 big questions for AI progress in 2025-2026
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What I Wish I Knew About FrontierMath - by Greg Burnham
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Comments - We're Finding Out What Humans are Bad At
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AI plays Pokémon, but so does π. Tesla's "brand collapse." Neuroscience scaling laws. Why do I know all the songs on the radio?
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Scaling Laws and Fractal Complexity
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Update #83: AI Music Fraud and PlanSearch - by Cole Frank
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I’m a Senior Software Engineer. What Will It Take For An AI To Do My Job?
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[2409.04109] Can LLMs Generate Novel Research Ideas? A Large-Scale Human Study with 100+ NLP Researchers
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AIs Learn Both Shallow And Deep Things
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AI #82: The Governor Ponders - by Zvi Mowshowitz
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Is AI progress slowing down?
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Selective Perspectives
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[2407.21783] The Llama 3 Herd of Models
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[2402.00838] OLMo: Accelerating the Science of Language Models
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Can generative image models be good world models? This work from @Meta FAIR shows that there is a tradeoff between realism and diversity. The more realistic a generative model becomes, the less diverse it becomes. Realism comes at the cost of coverage. In other words, the most realistic systems are mode-collapsed. My hunch, supported by a growing amount of empirical evidence, is that world models should *not* be generative. https://arxiv.org/abs/2406.10429
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[2409.04109] Can LLMs Generate Novel Research Ideas? A Large-Scale Human Study with 100+ NLP Researchers
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Thoughts while watching myself be automated
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(I know I'm a stuck record) An important assumption in AI discourse is that sufficiently capable gen...
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web https://blog.cosmos-institute.org/p/faster-horses
Faster Horses - by Harry Law - Cosmos Institute
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gdoc https://docs.google.com/document/d/1Ab8Q8_F22drmQF...
Google Doc
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tweet https://x.com/snewmanpv/status/2005329341845303612
Underlying this trend is the fact that AIs are now entering the zone of real utility. Progress has n...
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web https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/u6Lacc7wx4yYkBQ3r/...
Insights into Claude Opus 4.5 from Pokémon — LessWrong
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web https://t.co/YH7W3F9FtQ
Cognition all the way down 2.0: neuroscience beyond neurons in the diverse intelligence era | Synthese
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web https://t.co/UKIULAD5wU
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"Cognition all the way down". Great to see this fine new paper from @robertchisciure & @drmichaelle...
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tweet https://x.com/i/status/2000413758729162889
In general, all the chatbots seem to struggle with files in a way that CLI versions do not. Gemini w...
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tweet https://x.com/i/status/1998778005129224412
An understudied, high-value issue in agents is how to have them write the best summaries of what the...
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web https://jasmi.news/p/42-notes-on-ai-and-work
42 notes on AI & work - by Jasmine Sun
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web https://www.understandingai.org/p/i-got-fooled-by-...
I got fooled by AI-for-science hype—here's what it taught me
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web https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/4mvphwx5pdsZLMmpY/...
Recent AI model progress feels mostly like bullshit — LessWrong
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web https://ringohosp.substack.com/p/what-artificial-i...
What artificial intelligence can do for a small independent hotel
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web https://gwern.net/ai-daydreaming
LLM Daydreaming · Gwern.net
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tweet https://x.com/1a3orn/status/1997056050403725373
This METR chart is my fav depiction of how human continual learning >> LLM continual learning. Huma...
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web https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/thoughts-on-ai-progress...
Thoughts on AI progress (Dec 2025) - by Dwarkesh Patel
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tweet https://x.com/Jack_W_Lindsey/status/19933890569323...
One analysis from our pre-release audit of Opus 4.5 stands out to me. Our behavioral evals uncovered...
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web https://www.strangeloopcanon.com/p/epicycles-all-t...
Epicycles All The Way Down - by Rohit Krishnan
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tweet https://x.com/mikeknoop/status/1993402375944679673...
"scaling sucked out all the oxygen in the room, everyone converged to the same ideas" --> new ideas ...
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tweet https://x.com/QuintinPope5/status/1991472282422899...
It is genuinely weird how many complex dynamical feedback loops end up producing smooth exponentials...
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tweet https://x.com/MLStreetTalk/status/1989961238839693...
Intelligence is not just compression. The future is much harder to know than the past, especially f...
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tweet https://x.com/fchollet/status/1989340153114976598
All the great breakthroughs in science are, at their core, compression. They take a complex mess of ...
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tweet https://x.com/HjalmarWijk/status/19855299568905302...
I really liked your post as well (https://t.co/vGhYMbzwlW) and it moved me toward thinking there are...
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gdoc https://docs.google.com/document/d/1p7l-KM31hETcNw...
Google Doc
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web https://youtu.be/mYDSSRS-B5U?si=EvNetk1JVc7e6HXt&t...
- YouTube
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web https://arxiv.org/abs/2502.05167
[2502.05167] NoLiMa: Long-Context Evaluation Beyond Literal Matching
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tweet https://x.com/emollick/status/1985507610963968447
AI laziness remains one of the wildest common failure states when you think about it. Also one of t...
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web https://80000hours.org/podcast/episodes/holden-kar...
Holden Karnofsky on dozens of amazing opportunities to make AI safer — and all his AGI takes | 80,000 Hours
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tweet https://x.com/karpathy/status/1973435013875314729?...
Finally had a chance to listen through this pod with Sutton, which was interesting and amusing. As ...
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tweet https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/19792590410137317...
The most interesting part for me is where @karpathy describes why LLMs aren't able to learn like hu...
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tweet https://x.com/karpathy/status/1979644538185752935?...
My pleasure to come on Dwarkesh last week, I thought the questions and conversation were really good...
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tweet https://x.com/ryanpgreenblatt/status/1981012208332...
https://t.co/duJDFyPx8o
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web https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/andrej-karpathy
Andrej Karpathy — AGI is still a decade away
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web https://www.henrikkarlsson.xyz/p/wordless-thought
When is better to think without words? - by Henrik Karlsson
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web https://ai-frontiers.org/articles/agis-last-bottle...
AGI's Last Bottlenecks | AI Frontiers
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tweet https://x.com/emollick/status/1980704687377486182?...
Papers like this show that are a lot of potential pathways forward on some of the hardest outstandin...
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web https://t.co/9rAySHO5L2
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tweet https://x.com/emollick/status/1980601776710525103?...
Looking back at an exponentially improving technology & you will see how momentum led to R&D which o...
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New post on RL scaling: Careful analysis of OpenAI’s public benchmarks reveals RL scales far worse t...
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web https://t.co/X2EocaaZjQ
Inference Scaling Reshapes AI Governance — Toby Ord
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tweet https://x.com/tobyordoxford/status/197420019350471...
So it looks like most of the gains are coming from the ability to spend more compute on each answer ...
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web https://thezvi.substack.com/p/bending-the-curve
Bending The Curve - by Zvi Mowshowitz
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web https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/thoughts-on-sutton
Some thoughts on the Sutton interview - by Dwarkesh Patel
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web https://www.interconnects.ai/p/thoughts-on-the-cur...
Thoughts on The Curve - by Nathan Lambert - Interconnects
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web https://t.co/qyMUb0c2Oh
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tweet https://x.com/teortaxesTex/status/1971854577755377...
I think @RichardSSutton is spiritually right, but offers non-constructively framed arguments (much ...
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web https://importai.substack.com/p/import-ai-430-emer...
Import AI 430: Emergence in video models; Unitree backdoor; preventative strikes to take down AGI projects
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tweet https://x.com/snewmanpv/status/1970528715403854327...
Why do coding agents cheat on unit tests (e.g. by modifying the test to always return true)? The ob...
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tweet https://x.com/snewmanpv/status/1970528715403854327
Why do coding agents cheat on unit tests (e.g. by modifying the test to always return true)? The ob...
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web https://epochai.substack.com/p/the-huge-potential-...
The huge potential implications of long-context inference
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tweet https://x.com/emollick/status/1968339804975948274?...
A big issue with today’s agent implementation is that they don’t ask questions, even when the thinki...
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tweet https://x.com/mjbukow/status/1962186888103747892
I think we've known for a while that LLMs can only replay data that is in-distribution. That doesn't...
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tweet https://x.com/livgorton/status/1960378468807447026...
17/ If this is right, it reframes the robustness problem: adversarial vulnerability might be the pri...
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web https://www.linkedin.com/posts/tcpeixoto_help-need...
Is "human-in-the-loop" a luxury for the privileged? | Tiago C. Peixoto posted on the topic | LinkedIn
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web https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/2ssPfDpdrjaM2rMbn/...
My AGI timeline updates from GPT-5 (and 2025 so far) — LessWrong
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web https://importai.substack.com/p/import-ai-425-ipho...
Import AI 425: iPhone video generation; subtle misalignment; making open weight models safe through surgical deletion
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web https://www.interconnects.ai/p/contra-dwarkesh-on-...
Contra Dwarkesh on Continual Learning - by Nathan Lambert
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tweet https://x.com/Simeon_Cps/status/195651948527768421...
I have this theory that we are in a period of increasing marginal utility of capabilities. GPT-2 to ...
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web https://peterwildeford.substack.com/p/gpt-5-a-smal...
GPT-5: a small step for intelligence, a giant leap for normal people
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web https://ethanding.substack.com/p/ai-subscriptions-...
tokens are getting more expensive - by Ethan Ding
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web https://thezvi.substack.com/i/169772920/city-in-a-...
AI #128: Four Hours Until Probably Not The Apocalypse
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tweet https://x.com/ben_j_todd/status/193428418992850148...
Why can AIs code for 1h but not 10h? A simple explanation: if there's a 10% chance of error per 10m...
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web http://henrikkarlsson.xyz/p/attention
Almost anything you give sustained attention to will begin to loop on itself and bloom
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web https://substack.com/redirect/ce40c09e-8b1b-44b4-9...
Using spaced repetition systems to see through a piece of mathematics
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web https://substack.com/redirect/a43876f1-09fb-4d47-9...
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tweet https://x.com/MLStreetTalk/status/1963492648708132...
We had a wonderful chat with Prof. Cris Moore of the Santa Fe Institute (@SFIscience), famous for wr...
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web https://www.interconnects.ai/p/brakes-on-an-intell...
State of play of AI progress (and related brakes on an intelligence explosion)
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web https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-mathemat...
The Mathematical Foundations o… - Machine Learning Street Talk (MLST) - Apple Podcasts
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web https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/vvgND6aLjuDR6QzDF/...
My model of what is going on with LLMs — LessWrong
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web https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/GADJFwHzNZKg2Ndti/...
Have LLMs Generated Novel Insights? — LessWrong
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web https://helentoner.substack.com/p/2-big-questions-...
2 big questions for AI progress in 2025-2026
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web https://lemmata.substack.com/p/what-i-wish-i-knew-...
What I Wish I Knew About FrontierMath - by Greg Burnham
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web https://amistrongeryet.substack.com/p/were-finding...
Comments - We're Finding Out What Humans are Bad At
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tweet https://x.com/emollick/status/1892108434171949321?...
As I have written many times, AI is not naturally a great tutor, it offers explanations but, without...
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web https://erictopol.substack.com/p/when-doctors-with...
When Doctors With A.I. Are Outperformed by A.I. Alone
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web https://t.co/b3ZuMjO0ZJ
From OpenAI to DeepSeek, companies say AI can “reason” now. Is it true? | Vox
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tweet https://x.com/SigalSamuel/status/18929978618868204...
The big AI story of the past 6 months is: Companies now claim that their AI models are capable of ge...
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web https://arxiv.org/abs/2410.06992
[2410.06992] SWE-Bench+: Enhanced Coding Benchmark for LLMs
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web https://epochai.substack.com/p/ai-progress-is-abou...
AI progress is about to speed up - by Ege Erdil - Epoch AI
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tweet https://x.com/AndrewCritchPhD/status/1891887600102...
This indeed works and saves much time: you can tell an LLM to enumerate hypotheses and testing stra...
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web https://thezvi.substack.com/p/ai-104-american-stat...
AI #104: American State Capacity on the Brink
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tweet https://x.com/buccocapital/status/1890745551995424...
People were curious, so here's how I'm using Deep Research. I'll walk through the prompting and then...
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In this thread I want to share some thoughts about the FrontierMath benchmark, on which, according t...
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web https://www.theintrinsicperspective.com/p/ai-plays...
AI plays Pokémon, but so does π. Tesla's "brand collapse." Neuroscience scaling laws. Why do I know all the songs on the radio?
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tweet https://x.com/slatestarcodex/status/18964571932157...
I agree that superintelligence can't just brute force every possible combination of ideas and keep t...
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If it turns out LLMs are only capable of recombinatory innovation (finding novel connections among e...
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web https://lemmata.substack.com/p/alphaproof-and-the-...
AlphaProof and the IMO - by Greg Burnham - Lemmata
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web https://lemmata.substack.com/p/o3-o4-mini-largely-...
o3, o4-mini: Largely Incremental at Math - by Greg Burnham
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tweet https://x.com/snewmanpv/status/1929724463916241351
Another great post from @GregHBurnham. He takes a deep dive into an LLM's proof of a tough math prob...
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web https://t.co/uAHid8PNFd
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Sam Altman asks: why are scaling laws a property of the universe? Daniel Selsam says intelligence e...
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web https://thegradientpub.substack.com/i/148749478/re...
Update #83: AI Music Fraud and PlanSearch - by Cole Frank
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web https://thegradientpub.substack.com/p/update-83-ai...
Update #83: AI Music Fraud and PlanSearch - by Cole Frank
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tweet https://x.com/Simeon_Cps/status/186841156076881114...
Sounds about right. Maths has all the ingredients: Data generation (theorem provers + lean), verifia...
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tweet https://twitter.com/MFarajtabar/status/18444568936...
5/ #Result 2: The fragility of supposed LLM reasoning. LLMs remain sensitive to changes in proper na...
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web https://pca.st/episode/27144be7-bcae-4e16-b1e4-403...
The Startup Powering The Data Behind AGI - Pocket Casts
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tweet https://x.com/natolambert/status/18461955444585145...
You spend more tokens on inference, your scores go up, its a simple business. This is clever work t...
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web https://amistrongeryet.substack.com/i/114809888/gp...
I’m a Senior Software Engineer. What Will It Take For An AI To Do My Job?
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web https://chatgpt.com/share/6701b6c0-8b50-800b-a40f-...
ChatGPT - String Difference Algorithm JavaScript
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web https://chatgpt.com/share/6701b757-2bac-800b-a66a-...
ChatGPT - String Comparison and Reconstruction
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tweet https://x.com/colin_fraser/status/1833953195430719...
ok here's my full review of this paper. It's easy and short, you should just read it if you want to....
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web https://t.co/CwTAMbWnUO
[2409.04109] Can LLMs Generate Novel Research Ideas? A Large-Scale Human Study with 100+ NLP Researchers
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tweet https://twitter.com/TrentonBricken/status/18466529...
Excited this small update is out! https://t.co/ENwx7rld5F We explore using dictionary learning fea...
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tweet https://twitter.com/emollick/status/18538578423121...
Interesting addition to the discussion over whether AI video models are world models. But even if t...
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web https://thezvi.substack.com/i/148809120/intelligen...
AI #82: The Governor Ponders - by Zvi Mowshowitz
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tweet https://x.com/IntuitMachine/status/184323859466993...
1/n Finding Intelligence at the Edge of Chaos The pursuit of artificial intelligence has traditiona...
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tweet https://x.com/tszzl/status/1844293154549399866
it’s obvious now that superhuman machine performance in various domains is clearly possible without ...
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tweet https://x.com/lateinteraction/status/1892724949074...
I suspect if only a 10% random sample of us in the field could stay, they'd make roughly similar pro...
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tweet https://x.com/_xjdr/status/1875295492906828005?t=m...
if you will forgive a bit of anthropomorphizing, to the extent models think, they do not think in to...
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web https://arxiv.org/pdf/2311.02462
https://arxiv.org/pdf/2311.02462
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web https://semianalysis.com/2024/12/11/scaling-laws-o...
Scaling Laws - O1 Pro Architecture, Reasoning Training Infrastructure, Orion and Claude 3.5 Opus “Failures”
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tweet https://twitter.com/Miles_Brundage/status/18620700...
Certainly it’ll be easier to directly target areas that have clear reward functions but even besides...
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tweet https://twitter.com/DKokotajlo67142/status/1862095...
Whereas I think that each gap between milestones will be shorter than the previous one, e.g. 1-day t...
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tweet https://twitter.com/deanwball/status/1861975137425...
Finally got a chance to read this piece, which argues that o1-style reasoners will not generalize be...
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tweet https://twitter.com/random_walker/status/186685835...
There's an emerging cope among some AI developers and researchers that progress in capabilities isn'...
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web https://pca.st/episode/d9d8178e-9f7e-4102-bf2c-aa3...
Autonomous Organizations: Vending Bench & Beyond, w/ Lukas Petersson & Axel Backlund of Andon Labs - Pocket Casts
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web https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/HiTjDZyWdLEGCDzqu?...
Implications of the inference scaling paradigm for AI safety — LessWrong
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web https://www.aisnakeoil.com/p/is-ai-progress-slowin...
Is AI progress slowing down?
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web https://www.aisnakeoil.com/p/is-ai-progress-slowin...
Is AI progress slowing down?
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web https://www.saysmaybe.com/latest-work/selective-pe...
Selective Perspectives
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web https://arxiv.org/abs/2407.21783
[2407.21783] The Llama 3 Herd of Models
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web https://arxiv.org/abs/2402.00838
[2402.00838] OLMo: Accelerating the Science of Language Models
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tweet https://x.com/snewmanpv/status/1870496367233438200
Is it though? I thought the idea of RSI was AI recursively creating more powerful AI *in a cycle of ...
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tweet https://twitter.com/S_OhEigeartaigh/status/1868606...
The builders are saying quite clearly what they're aiming for. But the implications are too wild. & ...
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web https://thezvi.substack.com/p/ai-94-not-now-google
AI #94: Not Now, Google - by Zvi Mowshowitz
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web https://www.hyperdimensional.co/p/thresholds
Thresholds - by Dean W. Ball - Hyperdimensional
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web https://substack.com/redirect/b54107cc-741f-41fb-9...
An Extraordinary Alien - by Dean W. Ball - Hyperdimensional
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web https://t.co/7gG705nmNL
JavaScript is not available.
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tweet https://x.com/tsarnick/status/1861921602235150545?...
Yann Lecun says his estimate for the creation of human-level AI is not that different from Sam Altma...
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tweet https://x.com/RichardMCNgo/status/1861450205109096...
My timelines are “we’re close enough to AGI that we can no longer meaningfully talk about AGI as a s...
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tweet https://x.com/DKokotajlo67142/status/1862095827700...
Whereas I think that each gap between milestones will be shorter than the previous one, e.g. 1-day t...
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web https://www.theintrinsicperspective.com/p/great-sc...
Great scientists follow intuition and beauty, not rationality
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web https://www.newcomer.co/p/our-biggest-takeaways-fr...
Our Biggest Takeaways from Cerebral Valley: No Wall on AI Progress Despite the Scaling Law Debate
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tweet https://x.com/deanwball/status/1860114571111084250...
Counterintuitively, AI research may end up being one of the easiest tasks to substantively automate....
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web https://t.co/VzldSvcMCU
JavaScript is not available.
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tweet https://x.com/eli_lifland/status/18600872628491717...
Takeaways re: AI R&D performance: 1. Claude 3.5 Sonnet reaches ~50th percentile human baseline 8-hou...
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web https://www.understandingai.org/p/are-transformer-...
Are transformer-based foundation models running out of steam?
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tweet https://x.com/polynoamial/status/18550376895331782...
I've heard people claim that Sam is just drumming up hype, but from what I've seen everything he's s...
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web https://t.co/lcy9sVjC4D
JavaScript is not available.
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tweet https://x.com/nrehiew_/status/1861464774904537215?...
If you actually want to learn about test time scaling, just watch this talk instead. Significant hig...
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web https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/...
How badly do humans misjudge AIs? - Marginal REVOLUTION
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web https://sites.google.com/view/raphaelraux/research...
raphaelraux - Research
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tweet https://x.com/BethMayBarnes/status/186006545082420...
The tasks are also limited in scope vs real-life ML research. We've tried to include aspects like in...
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web https://www.interconnects.ai/p/scaling-realities
Scaling realities - by Nathan Lambert - Interconnects
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tweet https://x.com/emollick/status/1856950856395984940?...
For what it is worth, the idea that there is no barrier to scaling to AGI is something multiple head...
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tweet https://x.com/Miles_Brundage/status/18568099700897...
Betting against AI scaling continuing to yield big gains is a bad idea. Would recommend that anyone...
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tweet https://x.com/swyx/status/1856776660986859632?t=OC...
balanced thoughts on the "ai is hitting a wall" meme: - gpt5, 3 opus, gemini 2 delays are real. no ...
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web https://www.theintrinsicperspective.com/p/ai-progr...
AI progress has plateaued below GPT-5 level - by Erik Hoel
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web https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/its-not-abou...
It's Not About Scale, It's Abo… - Machine Learning Street Talk (MLST) - Apple Podcasts
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tweet https://x.com/emollick/status/1847419607281213444?...
Some comments seem to be missing some of the point - AI has always had mixed performance on tasks, t...
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web https://futureoflife.org/podcast/tamay-besiroglu-o...
Tamay Besiroglu on AI in 2030: Scaling, Automation, and AI Agents - Future of Life Institute
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web https://dynomight.substack.com/p/data-wall
The real data wall is billions of years of evolution
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tweet https://x.com/aidangomez/status/174976098510216411...
The fact that LLMs lack a constrained inner monologue feels like a fairly catastrophic weakness that...
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web https://www.threads.net/@yannlecun/post/C8bXz_Huu2...
Can generative image models be good world models? This work from @Meta FAIR shows that there is a tradeoff between realism and diversity. The more realistic a generative model becomes, the less diverse it becomes. Realism comes at the cost of coverage. In other words, the most realistic systems are mode-collapsed. My hunch, supported by a growing amount of empirical evidence, is that world models should *not* be generative. https://arxiv.org/abs/2406.10429
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tweet https://x.com/DanHendrycks/status/1798177460028346...
This is worth checking out. Minor criticisms: I think industry's "algorithmic secrets" are not a ve...
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tweet https://x.com/mherreshoff/status/17983887405257892...
Your barrel transcript is an example of a specific LLM pathology I call "template fixation". That's ...
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tweet https://twitter.com/DanHendrycks/status/1798390576...
I think the case for an intelligence explosion rests on suspicious algorithmic efficiency estimates....
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web https://axrp.net/episode/2024/04/25/episode-29-sci...
29 - Science of Deep Learning with Vikrant Varma | AXRP - the AI X-risk Research Podcast
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web https://thegradientpub.substack.com/p/update-73-la...
Update #73: Against Language Erasure and Better Long-Context Benchmarking
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web https://thezvi.substack.com/p/ai-79-ready-for-some...
AI #79: Ready for Some Football - by Zvi Mowshowitz
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tweet https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1828519375302...
1/ Automating AI research could rapidly drive innovation. But which research tasks are nearing autom...
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web https://epochai.org/research
About Us | Epoch AI
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web https://www.cognitiverevolution.ai/flow-engineerin...
Flow Engineering and Code Integrity at Scale with Itamar Friedman, CEO of Codium AI
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web https://thezvi.substack.com/i/141710014/quiet-spec...
AI #52: Oops - by Zvi Mowshowitz
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web https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/K2D45BNxnZjdpSX2j/...
AI Timelines — LessWrong
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web https://arxiv.org/pdf/2310.08560.pdf
https://arxiv.org/pdf/2310.08560.pdf
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web https://arxiv.org/abs/2311.02462?s=03
[2311.02462] Levels of AGI for Operationalizing Progress on the Path to AGI
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web https://www.theintrinsicperspective.com/p/the-1-ai...
The #1 AI can't teach basic stuff like reading
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web https://arxiv.org/abs/2407.06023
[2407.06023] Distilling System 2 into System 1
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web https://thezvi.substack.com/p/ai-74-gpt-4o-mini-me...
AI #74: GPT-4o Mini Me and Llama 3 - by Zvi Mowshowitz
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tweet https://x.com/atroyn/status/1815441095721185693
my theory of why people inside the labs have very different timelines from people outside is because...
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web https://importai.substack.com/p/import-ai-380-dist...
Import AI 380: Distributed 1.3bn parameter LLM; math AI; and why reality is hard for Ai
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web https://rodneybrooks.com/rodney-brooks-three-laws-...
Rodney Brooks’ Three Laws of Robotics – Rodney Brooks
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web https://www.ben-evans.com/benedictevans/2024/7/9/t...
The AI summer — Benedict Evans
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web https://nicholas.carlini.com/writing/2024/how-i-us...
How I Use "AI"
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web https://t.co/aHFcjlVguy
JavaScript is not available.
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tweet https://x.com/teortaxesTex/status/1848103571310747...
btw I've started having doubts about near-term transformative AGI. Timelines up to 2035 or 2040 seem...
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web https://on.ft.com/3yWP1kV
Subscribe to the Financial Times
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web https://www.insightpartners.com/ideas/ai-agents-di...
AI Agents are disrupting automation: Current approaches, market solutions and recommendations | Insight Partners
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web https://mlsafety.slack.com/team/U04U6QXE18F
Slack
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web https://www.swebench.com/
SWE-bench Leaderboards
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tweet https://x.com/emollick/status/1864509024214905060?...
It is worth noting that this is an increasingly common message from insiders at the big AI labs. It...
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web https://www.dwarkeshpatel.com/p/sholto-douglas-tre...
Sholto Douglas & Trenton Bricken - How to Build & Understand GPT-7's Mind
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web https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i9MiLFMTmfI
- YouTube
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web https://arxiv.org/abs/2402.15627
[2402.15627] MegaScale: Scaling Large Language Model Training to More Than 10,000 GPUs
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web https://arxiv.org/abs/2204.02311
[2204.02311] PaLM: Scaling Language Modeling with Pathways
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web https://arxiv.org/abs/2403.13187
[2403.13187] Evolutionary Optimization of Model Merging Recipes
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web http://sakana.ai/
Sakana AI
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web https://importai.substack.com/p/import-ai-367-goog...
Import AI 367: Google's world-spanning model; breaking AI policy with evolution; $250k for alignment benchmarks
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web https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/nt8PmADqKMaZLZGTC/...
Inside Views, Impostor Syndrome, and the Great LARP — LessWrong
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web https://sideways-view.com/2018/02/24/takeoff-speed...
Takeoff speeds – The sideways view
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web https://arxiv.org/pdf/2305.18654.pdf
https://arxiv.org/pdf/2305.18654.pdf
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web https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/JPan54R525D68NoEt/...
The date of AI Takeover is not the day the AI takes over — LessWrong
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web https://www.aisnakeoil.com/p/can-ai-automate-compu...
Can AI automate computational reproducibility?
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web https://arxiv.org/abs/1905.02175
[1905.02175] Adversarial Examples Are Not Bugs, They Are Features
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web https://bsky.app/profile/lauraruis.bsky.social/pos...
@lauraruis.bsky.social on Bluesky
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web https://www.interconnects.ai/p/openai-strawberry-a...
OpenAI’s Strawberry and inference scaling laws
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tweet https://x.com/youjiacheng/status/18290219624899993...
$NVDA CFO: "Over the trailing four quarters, we estimate that inference drove more than 40% of our d...
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tweet https://twitter.com/natolambert/status/18356863468...
post is out: https://t.co/yykDn3wynf
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web https://arxiv.org/abs/2305.20050
[2305.20050] Let's Verify Step by Step
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web https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AlphaGo_versus_Lee_S...
AlphaGo versus Lee Sedol - Wikipedia
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tweet https://x.com/emollick/status/1835659394459013565?...
In this post, I tried to lay out, in a non-technical way, where we are in the development of AI, the...
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tweet https://x.com/MLStreetTalk/status/1834609042230009...
Reasoning is *knowledge acquisition*. The new OpenAI models don't reason, they simply memorise reaso...
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tweet https://x.com/natolambert/status/18346291020973387...
People are going to underestimate o1 style systems until there's an equivalent "move 37" moment from...
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tweet https://x.com/btibor91/status/1834686946846597281?...
Summary of what we have learned during AMA hour with the OpenAI o1 team today Model Names and Reaso...
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web https://simonw.substack.com/p/openais-new-o1-chain...
OpenAI's new o1 chain-of-thought models
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tweet https://x.com/deedydas/status/1833539735853449360?...
Research published by Google Deepmind reveals OpenAI Strawberry's approach. Searches at inference t...
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tweet https://x.com/emollick/status/1835090283832442982?...
Note o1 is showing how unprepared we are for testing high level AIs to figure out what they are good...
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web https://www.oneusefulthing.org/p/something-new-on-...
Something New: On OpenAI's "Strawberry" and Reasoning
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web https://www.understandingai.org/p/why-i-dont-view-...
Comments - Tesla's near-infinite training data isn't a silver bullet
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tweet https://x.com/emollick/status/1835366663715258818?...
Question @AstronoMisfit - are you sure this wasn’t reproduced from a public github repo in the train...
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tweet https://x.com/AstronoMisfit/status/183532835543000...
That feeling when ChatGPT o1 accomplishes in 1 hour what took you about a year in your PhD: https://...
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tweet https://twitter.com/emollick/status/18360645914799...
After spending a decent amount of time with o1-preview, I would be very surprised if it is not able ...
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web https://t.co/8lkD4oRDP2
JavaScript is not available.
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tweet https://x.com/JuliusSimonelli/status/1834704564618...
Another instance of o1-preview missing the part where e I tell it the answer pic.twitter.com/8lkD4oR...
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web https://www.mindprison.cc/i/148326057/capabilities...
Everything Is a Spy Device and OpenAI’s New o1 Model
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web https://arcprize.org/blog/openai-o1-results-arc-pr...
OpenAI o1 Results on ARC-AGI-Pub
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tweet https://x.com/rohanpaul_ai/status/1834728874879455...
Ilya Sutskever was a co-author of this Paper. Helps to put some light on how the latest o1 🍓 Model...
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tweet https://x.com/emollick/status/1834785685661696062?...
I think it is worth reading the red team reports on o1. Some interesting stuff in there (and these a...
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web https://t.co/qgLJZm8CGr
JavaScript is not available.
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tweet https://x.com/JuliusSimonelli/status/1834377470856...
ChatGPT o1-preview still doesn't know what it knows... If you ask it for three people with the same ...
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tweet https://x.com/Miles_Brundage/status/18342915956483...
My team + many others across OpenAI have been thinking for a while about the implications of AIs tha...
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web https://t.co/JssF7NRW4e
JavaScript is not available.
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tweet https://x.com/ShakeelHashim/status/183429228419373...
I took a stab at summarising the OpenAI o1 system card. A few bits in particular jumped out at me: ...
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web https://arxiv.org/abs/2407.21787
[2407.21787] Large Language Monkeys: Scaling Inference Compute with Repeated Sampling
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web https://arxiv.org/pdf/2406.02061
https://arxiv.org/pdf/2406.02061
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web https://www.maginative.com/article/openai-has-demo...
OpenAI Has Demonstrated "Strawberry" AI Capabilities to U.S. National Security Officials
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web https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/8oX4FTRa8MJodArhj/...
The Information: OpenAI shows 'Strawberry' to feds, races to launch it — LessWrong
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tweet https://x.com/emollick/status/1836867501138780517?...
The issue with o1 (or successors) helping with PhD level problems is that most people don’t have a t...
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web https://t.co/DQQ7jn6wWD
JavaScript is not available.
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tweet https://x.com/tsarnick/status/1836215965912289306?...
OpenAI's Noam Brown says that while AI model performance scales roughly equivalently with more train...
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web https://t.co/ISCj6QKSxw
JavaScript is not available.
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tweet https://x.com/emollick/status/1838240203007205379?...
Comparing the creativity of a representative human sample to GPT-4 finds "the creative ideas produce...
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tweet https://x.com/emollick/status/1833190390964359321?...
We have increasing evidence that today's AIs can, indeed, generate novel ideas This paper shows tha...
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web https://t.co/iqOURCHRwI
JavaScript is not available.
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tweet https://x.com/emollick/status/1834201561867698210?...
I don’t necessarily agree with it, but this is an interesting theoretical paper that lays out the ar...
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web https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/sakana-strawberry...
Sakana, Strawberry, and Scary AI - by Scott Alexander
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web https://thezvi.substack.com/p/ai-81-alpha-proteo
AI #81: Alpha Proteo - by Zvi Mowshowitz
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web https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/...
LLMs are Creative Reasoners - Marginal REVOLUTION
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web https://arxiv.org/abs/2409.04109
[2409.04109] Can LLMs Generate Novel Research Ideas? A Large-Scale Human Study with 100+ NLP Researchers
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web https://dynomight.substack.com/p/automated?utm_sou...
Thoughts while watching myself be automated
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tweet https://x.com/emollick/status/1846227413832765819?...
A nice demonstration about why world models will not be enough for AI to replace the artistry of top...
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tweet https://x.com/natolambert/status/18483525621618484...
https://t.co/2Ct7L7CF3l
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Problems (81)

Raw Files

Execution Log

[2026-01-07T05:06:20.503Z] Starting step: fetch_notion_page (attempt 1)
[2026-01-07T05:06:20.529Z] Fetching Notion page: 2504c916374a800a92f0cf7c92e45c4e
[2026-01-07T05:06:20.738Z] Page title: More Thoughts About AGI
[2026-01-07T05:07:27.933Z] Fetched 776 blocks
[2026-01-07T05:07:27.995Z] Found 329 outbound links
[2026-01-07T05:07:28.158Z] Main page text truncated from 22920 to 10000 words
[2026-01-07T05:07:28.335Z] Created 330 resources (1 fetched, 329 pending)
[2026-01-07T05:07:28.364Z] Completed step: fetch_notion_page in 67835ms
[2026-01-07T05:07:28.632Z] Starting step: fetch_resources (attempt 1)
[2026-01-07T05:07:28.683Z] Fetching batch of 10 resources (10 pending, 0 retrying)
[2026-01-07T05:07:28.716Z] Fetching tweet: http://pic.twitter.com/b5HXqxcAZv...
[2026-01-07T05:07:28.804Z] HTTP 404 for tweet, scheduling retry 1/5 in 10s
[2026-01-07T05:07:28.836Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/i/status/1999994684203045003...
[2026-01-07T05:07:29.243Z] Fetching webpage: https://blog.cosmos-institute.org/p/faster-horses...
[2026-01-07T05:07:29.909Z] Fetching webpage: https://www.patreon.com/posts/january-3-2025-147255956...
[2026-01-07T05:07:29.955Z] Fetching webpage: https://docs.google.com/document/d/1Ab8Q8_F22drmQFedJD4IWPVs5sjOIMMqki_ancvFB4o/...
[2026-01-07T05:07:29.990Z] Fetching webpage: https://docs.google.com/document/d/1PH7bNtJdy55IPIv0i01JgC41KfJ2uKDCm5taVH7fB2o/...
[2026-01-07T05:07:30.023Z] Fetching webpage: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46408921...
[2026-01-07T05:07:30.164Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/snewmanpv/status/2005329341845303612...
[2026-01-07T05:07:30.537Z] Fetching webpage: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/u6Lacc7wx4yYkBQ3r/insights-into-claude-opus-4-5-...
[2026-01-07T05:07:31.661Z] Fetching webpage: https://t.co/YH7W3F9FtQ...
[2026-01-07T05:07:33.739Z] Batch complete, 319 resources still pending
[2026-01-07T05:07:33.773Z] Completed step: fetch_resources in 5107ms
[2026-01-07T05:07:33.857Z] Re-queuing step: fetch_resources for next batch
[2026-01-07T05:07:34.017Z] Starting step: fetch_resources (attempt 1)
[2026-01-07T05:07:34.074Z] Fetching batch of 10 resources (10 pending, 0 retrying)
[2026-01-07T05:07:34.105Z] Fetching webpage: https://t.co/UKIULAD5wU...
[2026-01-07T05:07:34.800Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/anilkseth/status/1987894412584566876?t=0JSx8bvFJGpJy6NR5Xh7kw&s=03...
[2026-01-07T05:07:35.149Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/i/status/2000413758729162889...
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[2026-01-07T05:07:35.981Z] Fetching webpage: https://jasmi.news/p/42-notes-on-ai-and-work...
[2026-01-07T05:07:36.637Z] Fetching webpage: https://www.understandingai.org/p/i-got-fooled-by-ai-for-science-hypeheres...
[2026-01-07T05:07:36.965Z] Fetching webpage: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/4mvphwx5pdsZLMmpY/recent-ai-model-progress-feels...
[2026-01-07T05:07:38.280Z] Fetching webpage: https://ringohosp.substack.com/p/what-artificial-intelligence-can...
[2026-01-07T05:07:38.902Z] Fetching webpage: https://gwern.net/ai-daydreaming...
[2026-01-07T05:07:41.094Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/1a3orn/status/1997056050403725373...
[2026-01-07T05:07:41.542Z] Batch complete, 309 resources still pending
[2026-01-07T05:07:41.573Z] Completed step: fetch_resources in 7519ms
[2026-01-07T05:07:41.668Z] Re-queuing step: fetch_resources for next batch
[2026-01-07T05:07:41.921Z] Starting step: fetch_resources (attempt 1)
[2026-01-07T05:07:41.995Z] Fetching batch of 10 resources (9 pending, 1 retrying)
[2026-01-07T05:07:42.026Z] Retrying (attempt 2/5) tweet: http://pic.twitter.com/b5HXqxcAZv...
[2026-01-07T05:07:42.097Z] HTTP 404 for tweet, scheduling retry 2/5 in 20s
[2026-01-07T05:07:42.129Z] Fetching webpage: https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/thoughts-on-ai-progress-dec-2025...
[2026-01-07T05:07:42.680Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/Jack_W_Lindsey/status/1993389056932339721...
[2026-01-07T05:07:43.015Z] Fetching webpage: https://www.strangeloopcanon.com/p/epicycles-all-the-way-down...
[2026-01-07T05:07:43.671Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/mikeknoop/status/1993402375944679673?t=LWizqAJMjEshtTbDlsNbgg&s=03...
[2026-01-07T05:07:44.117Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/QuintinPope5/status/1991472282422899184?t=DqRlOyRAVVMmxdd9X6Go_Q&s...
[2026-01-07T05:07:44.553Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/MLStreetTalk/status/1989961238839693788?t=Fu6VNj83BJCK7qwDh3hKNw&s...
[2026-01-07T05:07:45.169Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/fchollet/status/1989340153114976598...
[2026-01-07T05:07:45.559Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/HjalmarWijk/status/1985529956890530217...
[2026-01-07T05:07:45.984Z] Fetching webpage: https://docs.google.com/document/d/1p7l-KM31hETcNwXMjSkTik0_KmPBpkabYPbByPRpQ7w/...
[2026-01-07T05:07:46.016Z] Batch complete, 300 resources still pending
[2026-01-07T05:07:46.048Z] Completed step: fetch_resources in 4086ms
[2026-01-07T05:07:46.134Z] Re-queuing step: fetch_resources for next batch
[2026-01-07T05:07:46.376Z] Starting step: fetch_resources (attempt 1)
[2026-01-07T05:07:46.429Z] Fetching batch of 10 resources (10 pending, 0 retrying)
[2026-01-07T05:07:46.461Z] Fetching webpage: https://youtu.be/mYDSSRS-B5U?si=EvNetk1JVc7e6HXt&t=823...
[2026-01-07T05:07:47.869Z] Fetching webpage: https://arxiv.org/abs/2502.05167...
[2026-01-07T05:07:48.385Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/emollick/status/1985507610963968447...
[2026-01-07T05:07:48.771Z] Fetching webpage: https://80000hours.org/podcast/episodes/holden-karnofsky-concrete-ai-safety-fron...
[2026-01-07T05:07:49.808Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/karpathy/status/1973435013875314729?t=l8ZRYSohCQ_g9t18XW18pA&s=03...
[2026-01-07T05:07:50.136Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1979259041013731752?t=_ICAkvN3N3W24PVdwS8kmA&s=...
[2026-01-07T05:07:50.523Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/karpathy/status/1979644538185752935?t=H0LxJvX5xMtiIqHt69rLpA&s=03...
[2026-01-07T05:07:50.906Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/ryanpgreenblatt/status/1981012208332280219?s=46...
[2026-01-07T05:07:51.257Z] Fetching webpage: https://pca.st/episode/d9d8178e-9f7e-4102-bf2c-aa3e747bc188...
[2026-01-07T05:07:51.800Z] HTTP 502 for webpage, scheduling retry 1/5 in 10s
[2026-01-07T05:07:51.830Z] Fetching webpage: https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/andrej-karpathy...
[2026-01-07T05:07:52.196Z] Batch complete, 290 resources still pending
[2026-01-07T05:07:52.233Z] Completed step: fetch_resources in 5824ms
[2026-01-07T05:07:52.337Z] Re-queuing step: fetch_resources for next batch
[2026-01-07T05:07:52.583Z] Starting step: fetch_resources (attempt 1)
[2026-01-07T05:07:52.650Z] Fetching batch of 10 resources (10 pending, 0 retrying)
[2026-01-07T05:07:52.691Z] Fetching webpage: https://www.henrikkarlsson.xyz/p/wordless-thought...
[2026-01-07T05:07:53.398Z] Fetching webpage: https://ai-frontiers.org/articles/agis-last-bottlenecks...
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[2026-01-07T05:07:54.172Z] Fetching webpage: https://t.co/9rAySHO5L2...
[2026-01-07T05:07:54.679Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/emollick/status/1980601776710525103?t=tLJFmxj8M3wZV_-RlRTtmA&s=03...
[2026-01-07T05:07:55.070Z] Fetching webpage: https://t.co/ZwhDegc4NO...
[2026-01-07T05:07:55.684Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/tobyordoxford/status/1980351353227768109?t=KevNIGnuT-Kq5Lt87kx1Kg&...
[2026-01-07T05:07:56.029Z] Fetching webpage: https://t.co/X2EocaaZjQ...
[2026-01-07T05:07:56.776Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/tobyordoxford/status/1974200193504719049?t=fKg6dK3nB5WEYbOHr052sg&...
[2026-01-07T05:07:57.156Z] Fetching webpage: https://thezvi.substack.com/p/bending-the-curve...
[2026-01-07T05:07:57.804Z] Batch complete, 280 resources still pending
[2026-01-07T05:07:57.842Z] Completed step: fetch_resources in 5224ms
[2026-01-07T05:07:57.925Z] Re-queuing step: fetch_resources for next batch
[2026-01-07T05:07:58.160Z] Starting step: fetch_resources (attempt 1)
[2026-01-07T05:07:58.213Z] Fetching batch of 10 resources (9 pending, 1 retrying)
[2026-01-07T05:07:58.245Z] Retrying (attempt 2/5) webpage: https://pca.st/episode/d9d8178e-9f7e-4102-bf2c-aa3e747bc188...
[2026-01-07T05:07:58.294Z] HTTP 502 for webpage, scheduling retry 2/5 in 20s
[2026-01-07T05:07:58.327Z] Fetching webpage: https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/thoughts-on-sutton...
[2026-01-07T05:07:58.766Z] Fetching webpage: https://www.interconnects.ai/p/thoughts-on-the-curve...
[2026-01-07T05:07:59.200Z] Fetching webpage: https://t.co/qyMUb0c2Oh...
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[2026-01-07T05:08:00.187Z] Fetching webpage: https://importai.substack.com/p/import-ai-430-emergence-in-video...
[2026-01-07T05:08:00.764Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/snewmanpv/status/1970528715403854327?t=Mj_RiH2oeiOblZ7Xn1QrSA&s=03...
[2026-01-07T05:08:01.219Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/snewmanpv/status/1970528715403854327...
[2026-01-07T05:08:01.614Z] Fetching webpage: https://epochai.substack.com/p/the-huge-potential-implications-of...
[2026-01-07T05:08:02.232Z] Fetching webpage: https://pca.st/episode/27144be7-bcae-4e16-b1e4-40302c956a1a...
[2026-01-07T05:08:02.496Z] HTTP 502 for webpage, scheduling retry 1/5 in 10s
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[2026-01-07T05:08:03.100Z] HTTP 404 for tweet, scheduling retry 3/5 in 40s
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[2026-01-07T05:08:03.501Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/mjbukow/status/1962186888103747892...
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[2026-01-07T05:08:05.241Z] Fetching webpage: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/2ssPfDpdrjaM2rMbn/my-agi-timeline-updates-from-g...
[2026-01-07T05:08:06.262Z] Fetching webpage: https://importai.substack.com/p/import-ai-425-iphone-video-generation...
[2026-01-07T05:08:06.852Z] Fetching webpage: https://www.interconnects.ai/p/contra-dwarkesh-on-continual-learning...
[2026-01-07T05:08:07.203Z] Fetching webpage: https://www.reddit.com/r/mlscaling/comments/1mrm0di/we_had_this_big_gpu_crunch_w...
[2026-01-07T05:08:07.362Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/Simeon_Cps/status/1956519485277684219?t=Y9sBafUnmKmEhxpCqQurMw&s=0...
[2026-01-07T05:08:07.769Z] Batch complete, 262 resources still pending
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[2026-01-07T05:08:07.890Z] Re-queuing step: fetch_resources for next batch
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[2026-01-07T05:08:08.880Z] Fetching webpage: https://ethanding.substack.com/p/ai-subscriptions-get-short-squeezed...
[2026-01-07T05:08:09.266Z] Fetching webpage: https://thezvi.substack.com/i/169772920/city-in-a-bottle...
[2026-01-07T05:08:10.381Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/ben_j_todd/status/1934284189928501482...
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[2026-01-07T05:08:10.881Z] Fetching webpage: http://henrikkarlsson.xyz/p/attention...
[2026-01-07T05:08:11.536Z] Fetching webpage: https://substack.com/redirect/ce40c09e-8b1b-44b4-905f-fc7870062375?j=eyJ1IjoiOG5...
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[2026-01-07T05:08:12.702Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/MLStreetTalk/status/1963492648708132948...
[2026-01-07T05:08:13.095Z] Fetching webpage: https://www.interconnects.ai/p/brakes-on-an-intelligence-explosion...
[2026-01-07T05:08:13.528Z] Batch complete, 252 resources still pending
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[2026-01-07T05:08:13.651Z] Re-queuing step: fetch_resources for next batch
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[2026-01-07T05:08:13.924Z] Fetching batch of 10 resources (9 pending, 1 retrying)
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[2026-01-07T05:08:14.080Z] HTTP 502 for webpage, scheduling retry 2/5 in 20s
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[2026-01-07T05:08:14.568Z] Fetching notion: https://www.notion.so/1df4c916374a8075bea1c1cec4d1e3bc...
[2026-01-07T05:08:15.028Z] Fetching webpage: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/vvgND6aLjuDR6QzDF/my-model-of-what-is-going-on-w...
[2026-01-07T05:08:16.181Z] Fetching webpage: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/GADJFwHzNZKg2Ndti/have-llms-generated-novel-insi...
[2026-01-07T05:08:17.252Z] Fetching webpage: https://helentoner.substack.com/p/2-big-questions-for-ai-progress-in...
[2026-01-07T05:08:18.021Z] Fetching notion: https://www.notion.so/1a74c916374a80829f2cd66bd4e63b3d...
[2026-01-07T05:08:22.494Z] Fetching webpage: https://lemmata.substack.com/p/what-i-wish-i-knew-about-frontiermath...
[2026-01-07T05:08:23.290Z] Fetching webpage: https://amistrongeryet.substack.com/p/were-finding-out-what-humans-are/comment/9...
[2026-01-07T05:08:24.084Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/emollick/status/1892108434171949321?t=JRIExSHeGTJitIUwXGVCDQ&s=03...
[2026-01-07T05:08:24.485Z] Batch complete, 243 resources still pending
[2026-01-07T05:08:24.515Z] Completed step: fetch_resources in 10610ms
[2026-01-07T05:08:24.601Z] Re-queuing step: fetch_resources for next batch
[2026-01-07T05:08:24.843Z] Starting step: fetch_resources (attempt 1)
[2026-01-07T05:08:24.910Z] Fetching batch of 10 resources (9 pending, 1 retrying)
[2026-01-07T05:08:24.941Z] Retrying (attempt 3/5) webpage: https://pca.st/episode/d9d8178e-9f7e-4102-bf2c-aa3e747bc188...
[2026-01-07T05:08:25.206Z] HTTP 502 for webpage, scheduling retry 3/5 in 40s
[2026-01-07T05:08:25.234Z] Fetching webpage: https://erictopol.substack.com/p/when-doctors-with-ai-are-outperformed:...
[2026-01-07T05:08:25.783Z] Fetching webpage: https://erictopol.substack.com/p/when-doctors-with-ai-are-outperformed...
[2026-01-07T05:08:26.210Z] Fetching webpage: https://t.co/b3ZuMjO0ZJ...
[2026-01-07T05:08:26.673Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/SigalSamuel/status/1892997861886820474?t=x29SrzUJR8dq9mwmmnaiDQ&s=...
[2026-01-07T05:08:27.024Z] Fetching webpage: https://arxiv.org/abs/2410.06992...
[2026-01-07T05:08:27.332Z] Fetching webpage: https://epochai.substack.com/p/ai-progress-is-about-to-speed-up...
[2026-01-07T05:08:27.907Z] Fetching notion: https://aidanmclaughlin.notion.site/reasoners-problem...
[2026-01-07T05:08:27.941Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/AndrewCritchPhD/status/1891887600102932629?t=0UjiKsyU97miKXKTPaKll...
[2026-01-07T05:08:28.302Z] Fetching webpage: https://thezvi.substack.com/p/ai-104-american-state-capacity-on...
[2026-01-07T05:08:28.998Z] Batch complete, 234 resources still pending
[2026-01-07T05:08:29.035Z] Completed step: fetch_resources in 4163ms
[2026-01-07T05:08:29.134Z] Re-queuing step: fetch_resources for next batch
[2026-01-07T05:08:29.390Z] Starting step: fetch_resources (attempt 1)
[2026-01-07T05:08:29.455Z] Fetching batch of 10 resources (10 pending, 0 retrying)
[2026-01-07T05:08:29.487Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/buccocapital/status/1890745551995424987...
[2026-01-07T05:08:29.868Z] Fetching webpage: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=43169586...
[2026-01-07T05:08:29.969Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/littmath/status/1898461323391815820...
[2026-01-07T05:08:30.334Z] Fetching webpage: https://www.theintrinsicperspective.com/p/ai-plays-pokemon-but-so-does-teslas...
[2026-01-07T05:08:30.832Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/slatestarcodex/status/1896457193215742274...
[2026-01-07T05:08:31.175Z] Fetching webpage: https://t.co/XrZUlbKkek...
[2026-01-07T05:08:31.714Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/emollick/status/1898802108926661012?t=5xHM6k-VgnlfCiewN4E6dA&s=03...
[2026-01-07T05:08:32.074Z] Fetching notion: https://www.notion.so/1af4c916374a805fb6cbe37f43843bfb...
[2026-01-07T05:08:32.569Z] Fetching webpage: https://lemmata.substack.com/p/alphaproof-and-the-imo...
[2026-01-07T05:08:32.916Z] Fetching webpage: https://lemmata.substack.com/p/o3-o4-mini-largely-incremental-at...
[2026-01-07T05:08:33.295Z] Batch complete, 224 resources still pending
[2026-01-07T05:08:33.324Z] Completed step: fetch_resources in 3905ms
[2026-01-07T05:08:33.408Z] Re-queuing step: fetch_resources for next batch
[2026-01-07T05:08:33.657Z] Starting step: fetch_resources (attempt 1)
[2026-01-07T05:08:33.711Z] Fetching batch of 10 resources (10 pending, 0 retrying)
[2026-01-07T05:08:33.743Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/snewmanpv/status/1929724463916241351...
[2026-01-07T05:08:34.125Z] Fetching notion: https://www.notion.so/1d94c916374a800fa414ddaba0145aee...
[2026-01-07T05:08:35.392Z] Fetching webpage: https://t.co/uAHid8PNFd...
[2026-01-07T05:08:35.830Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/vitrupo/status/1910544354709762111?t=q9UCeSNz6b9UKGyk7y7pbg&s=03...
[2026-01-07T05:08:36.206Z] Fetching notion: https://www.notion.so/1024c916374a80b7a2d2ddd6ddbb5987...
[2026-01-07T05:08:42.147Z] Fetching webpage: https://chatgpt.com/c/6705d33a-9a84-800b-8ddd-f52c7dfd7db2...
[2026-01-07T05:08:42.196Z] Fetching webpage: https://thegradientpub.substack.com/i/148749478/research-highlight-planning-in-n...
[2026-01-07T05:08:43.032Z] Fetching webpage: https://thegradientpub.substack.com/p/update-83-ai-music-fraud-and-plansearch...
[2026-01-07T05:08:43.804Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/Simeon_Cps/status/1868411560768811147?t=bZkhvW38tzhEnpgL8CFjHQ&s=0...
[2026-01-07T05:08:44.141Z] Fetching tweet: https://twitter.com/MFarajtabar/status/1844456893605191804...
[2026-01-07T05:08:44.510Z] Batch complete, 214 resources still pending
[2026-01-07T05:08:44.544Z] Completed step: fetch_resources in 10857ms
[2026-01-07T05:08:44.644Z] Re-queuing step: fetch_resources for next batch
[2026-01-07T05:08:44.884Z] Starting step: fetch_resources (attempt 1)
[2026-01-07T05:08:44.936Z] Fetching batch of 10 resources (8 pending, 2 retrying)
[2026-01-07T05:08:44.967Z] Retrying (attempt 4/5) tweet: http://pic.twitter.com/b5HXqxcAZv...
[2026-01-07T05:08:45.045Z] HTTP 404 for tweet, scheduling retry 4/5 in 80s
[2026-01-07T05:08:45.079Z] Retrying (attempt 3/5) webpage: https://pca.st/episode/27144be7-bcae-4e16-b1e4-40302c956a1a...
[2026-01-07T05:08:46.038Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/boazbaraktcs/status/1844763538260209818?t=4i54UKxp2_R6CYFm1mmz2w&s...
[2026-01-07T05:08:46.114Z] HTTP 404 for tweet, scheduling retry 1/5 in 10s
[2026-01-07T05:08:46.146Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/natolambert/status/1846195544458514561?t=-8t7_j62mtGGhRAlG71m6w&s=...
[2026-01-07T05:08:46.537Z] Fetching notion: https://www.notion.so/10b4c916374a80b3a424fd2fdd180460...
[2026-01-07T05:08:47.032Z] Fetching webpage: https://amistrongeryet.substack.com/i/114809888/gpt-has-no-problem-solving-chops...
[2026-01-07T05:08:47.851Z] Fetching webpage: https://chatgpt.com/share/6701b6c0-8b50-800b-a40f-12427a2ba2d6...
[2026-01-07T05:08:48.787Z] Fetching webpage: https://chatgpt.com/share/6701b757-2bac-800b-a66a-eff0914a902e...
[2026-01-07T05:08:49.762Z] Fetching webpage: https://claude.ai/chat/4d6ea2d6-598c-4a59-8e0f-fe0593009af4...
[2026-01-07T05:08:50.831Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/colin_fraser/status/1833953195430719744...
[2026-01-07T05:08:51.194Z] Batch complete, 206 resources still pending
[2026-01-07T05:08:51.225Z] Completed step: fetch_resources in 6310ms
[2026-01-07T05:08:51.306Z] Re-queuing step: fetch_resources for next batch
[2026-01-07T05:08:51.468Z] Starting step: fetch_resources (attempt 1)
[2026-01-07T05:08:51.545Z] Fetching batch of 10 resources (10 pending, 0 retrying)
[2026-01-07T05:08:51.575Z] Fetching webpage: https://t.co/CwTAMbWnUO...
[2026-01-07T05:08:52.297Z] Fetching notion: https://www.notion.so/12a4c916374a80a8bb3fee3ef70089ed...
[2026-01-07T05:08:53.280Z] Fetching tweet: https://twitter.com/TrentonBricken/status/1846652943300436030...
[2026-01-07T05:08:53.606Z] Fetching tweet: https://twitter.com/emollick/status/1853857842312188012...
[2026-01-07T05:08:54.026Z] Fetching notion: https://www.notion.so/10b4c916374a80c1b46bf09723f5c655...
[2026-01-07T05:08:54.876Z] Fetching webpage: https://thezvi.substack.com/i/148809120/intelligent-design...
[2026-01-07T05:08:55.596Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/IntuitMachine/status/1843238594669932686?t=VsIgmshZYkyf9O-pYedugg&...
[2026-01-07T05:08:55.932Z] Fetching webpage: https://thezvi.substack.com/p/ai-85-ai-wins-the-nobel-prize...
[2026-01-07T05:08:56.062Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/tszzl/status/1844293154549399866...
[2026-01-07T05:08:56.414Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/lateinteraction/status/1892724949074559412?t=zJIV1gF8bR3K40lwnDA8_...
[2026-01-07T05:08:56.789Z] Batch complete, 196 resources still pending
[2026-01-07T05:08:56.821Z] Completed step: fetch_resources in 5320ms
[2026-01-07T05:08:56.920Z] Re-queuing step: fetch_resources for next batch
[2026-01-07T05:08:57.145Z] Starting step: fetch_resources (attempt 1)
[2026-01-07T05:08:57.196Z] Fetching batch of 10 resources (9 pending, 1 retrying)
[2026-01-07T05:08:57.227Z] Retrying (attempt 2/5) tweet: https://x.com/boazbaraktcs/status/1844763538260209818?t=4i54...
[2026-01-07T05:08:57.302Z] HTTP 404 for tweet, scheduling retry 2/5 in 20s
[2026-01-07T05:08:57.332Z] Fetching notion: https://www.notion.so/1724c916374a8008b1e8f89d6b9d4295...
[2026-01-07T05:08:58.059Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/_xjdr/status/1875295492906828005?t=m-uTZp61RAtJz7ixcG5kew&s=03...
[2026-01-07T05:08:58.453Z] Fetching notion: https://www.notion.so/b07c6f4278c94f7abe9acf429aad7477...
[2026-01-07T05:09:30.808Z] Fetching webpage: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2311.02462...
[2026-01-07T05:09:31.244Z] Fetching webpage: https://semianalysis.com/2024/12/11/scaling-laws-o1-pro-architecture-reasoning-t...
[2026-01-07T05:09:31.850Z] Fetching tweet: https://twitter.com/Miles_Brundage/status/1862070079581782248...
[2026-01-07T05:09:32.297Z] Fetching tweet: https://twitter.com/DKokotajlo67142/status/1862095827700793499...
[2026-01-07T05:09:32.658Z] Fetching tweet: https://twitter.com/deanwball/status/1861975137425244200...
[2026-01-07T05:09:33.063Z] Fetching tweet: https://twitter.com/random_walker/status/1866858354942832966...
[2026-01-07T05:09:33.464Z] Batch complete, 187 resources still pending
[2026-01-07T05:09:33.499Z] Completed step: fetch_resources in 36323ms
[2026-01-07T05:09:33.590Z] Re-queuing step: fetch_resources for next batch
[2026-01-07T05:09:33.769Z] Starting step: fetch_resources (attempt 1)
[2026-01-07T05:09:33.850Z] Fetching batch of 10 resources (8 pending, 2 retrying)
[2026-01-07T05:09:33.880Z] Retrying (attempt 4/5) webpage: https://pca.st/episode/d9d8178e-9f7e-4102-bf2c-aa3e747bc188...
[2026-01-07T05:09:35.328Z] Retrying (attempt 3/5) tweet: https://x.com/boazbaraktcs/status/1844763538260209818?t=4i54...
[2026-01-07T05:09:35.413Z] HTTP 404 for tweet, scheduling retry 3/5 in 40s
[2026-01-07T05:09:35.446Z] Fetching webpage: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/HiTjDZyWdLEGCDzqu?s=03#comments...
[2026-01-07T05:09:36.771Z] Fetching webpage: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42565606...
[2026-01-07T05:09:36.957Z] Fetching webpage: https://www.aisnakeoil.com/p/is-ai-progress-slowing-down...
[2026-01-07T05:09:37.899Z] Fetching webpage: https://www.aisnakeoil.com/p/is-ai-progress-slowing-down#footnote-2-153318545...
[2026-01-07T05:09:38.281Z] Fetching webpage: https://www.saysmaybe.com/latest-work/selective-perspectives-nyt...
[2026-01-07T05:09:39.352Z] Fetching webpage: https://arxiv.org/abs/2407.21783...
[2026-01-07T05:09:39.835Z] Fetching webpage: https://arxiv.org/abs/2402.00838...
[2026-01-07T05:09:40.088Z] Fetching tweet: https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/353933/openai-open-letter-safety-whistleblowe...
[2026-01-07T05:09:40.161Z] HTTP 404 for tweet, scheduling retry 1/5 in 10s
[2026-01-07T05:09:40.194Z] Batch complete, 179 resources still pending
[2026-01-07T05:09:40.227Z] Completed step: fetch_resources in 6425ms
[2026-01-07T05:09:40.317Z] Re-queuing step: fetch_resources for next batch
[2026-01-07T05:09:40.503Z] Starting step: fetch_resources (attempt 1)
[2026-01-07T05:09:40.559Z] Fetching batch of 10 resources (10 pending, 0 retrying)
[2026-01-07T05:09:40.591Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/snewmanpv/status/1870496367233438200...
[2026-01-07T05:09:40.975Z] Fetching tweet: https://twitter.com/S_OhEigeartaigh/status/1868606482507616353...
[2026-01-07T05:09:41.324Z] Fetching webpage: https://thezvi.substack.com/p/ai-94-not-now-google...
[2026-01-07T05:09:42.376Z] Fetching webpage: https://www.hyperdimensional.co/p/thresholds...
[2026-01-07T05:09:43.045Z] Fetching webpage: https://substack.com/redirect/b54107cc-741f-41fb-9dea-8b7c09a1c7cc?j=eyJ1IjoiOG5...
[2026-01-07T05:09:43.761Z] Fetching webpage: https://t.co/7gG705nmNL...
[2026-01-07T05:09:44.317Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/tsarnick/status/1861921602235150545?t=bJerP2YQgBMQrnJMcG0ttA&s=03...
[2026-01-07T05:09:44.698Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/RichardMCNgo/status/1861450205109096847...
[2026-01-07T05:09:45.051Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/DKokotajlo67142/status/1862095827700793499...
[2026-01-07T05:09:45.398Z] Fetching webpage: https://www.theintrinsicperspective.com/p/great-scientists-follow-intuition...
[2026-01-07T05:09:46.018Z] Batch complete, 169 resources still pending
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[2026-01-07T05:11:00.303Z] Fetching webpage: https://bsky.app/profile/lauraruis.bsky.social/post/3lbfeqtkhzm22...
[2026-01-07T05:11:00.932Z] Fetching notion: https://www.notion.so/1024c916374a807a9300edb5d5f8e637...
[2026-01-07T05:11:10.251Z] Fetching webpage: https://www.interconnects.ai/p/openai-strawberry-and-inference-scaling-laws...
[2026-01-07T05:11:10.629Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/youjiacheng/status/1829021962489999393?s=46...
[2026-01-07T05:11:11.023Z] Fetching tweet: https://twitter.com/natolambert/status/1835686346880626880...
[2026-01-07T05:11:11.357Z] Batch complete, 53 resources still pending
[2026-01-07T05:11:11.420Z] Completed step: fetch_resources in 23807ms
[2026-01-07T05:11:11.552Z] Re-queuing step: fetch_resources for next batch
[2026-01-07T05:11:11.784Z] Starting step: fetch_resources (attempt 1)
[2026-01-07T05:11:11.875Z] Fetching batch of 10 resources (9 pending, 1 retrying)
[2026-01-07T05:11:11.925Z] Retrying (attempt 4/5) tweet: https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/353933/openai-open-letter...
[2026-01-07T05:11:12.004Z] HTTP 404 for tweet, scheduling retry 4/5 in 80s
[2026-01-07T05:11:12.046Z] Fetching webpage: https://arxiv.org/abs/2305.20050...
[2026-01-07T05:11:12.325Z] Fetching webpage: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AlphaGo_versus_Lee_Sedol#Game_2...
[2026-01-07T05:11:12.846Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/emollick/status/1835659394459013565?t=VgIjyuN2s86nMPYIsLSU5Q&s=03...
[2026-01-07T05:11:13.245Z] Fetching notion: https://www.notion.so/b6f1bd454e3a4a04a22791189050d59c...
[2026-01-07T05:11:13.347Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/MLStreetTalk/status/1834609042230009869?t=JPGxhJYFi6YAwMASaM87oA&s...
[2026-01-07T05:11:13.753Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/natolambert/status/1834629102097338766?t=nRk8BnYU8LmxgfpfmNp9Og&s=...
[2026-01-07T05:11:14.137Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/btibor91/status/1834686946846597281?t=zkGfSi1ZH5cUy3DniUKbKQ&s=03...
[2026-01-07T05:11:14.463Z] Fetching webpage: https://simonw.substack.com/p/openais-new-o1-chain-of-thought-models...
[2026-01-07T05:11:15.328Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/deedydas/status/1833539735853449360?t=PTSb4uuby5SjnQFPh37IFw&s=03...
[2026-01-07T05:11:15.735Z] Batch complete, 44 resources still pending
[2026-01-07T05:11:15.766Z] Completed step: fetch_resources in 3952ms
[2026-01-07T05:11:15.866Z] Re-queuing step: fetch_resources for next batch
[2026-01-07T05:11:16.124Z] Starting step: fetch_resources (attempt 1)
[2026-01-07T05:11:16.188Z] Fetching batch of 10 resources (10 pending, 0 retrying)
[2026-01-07T05:11:16.220Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/emollick/status/1835090283832442982?t=tv57JQa96hlEQ6pyt46l7Q&s=03...
[2026-01-07T05:11:16.635Z] Fetching webpage: https://www.oneusefulthing.org/p/something-new-on-openais-strawberry...
[2026-01-07T05:11:17.207Z] Fetching webpage: https://www.understandingai.org/p/why-i-dont-view-teslas-near-infinite/comments...
[2026-01-07T05:11:17.714Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/emollick/status/1835366663715258818?t=dNkT4XdOFU05m6uQ9w9ZTw&s=03...
[2026-01-07T05:11:18.074Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/AstronoMisfit/status/1835328355430007164?t=ur1SQaNg5jHEyxD2yfJWCw&...
[2026-01-07T05:11:18.457Z] Fetching tweet: https://twitter.com/emollick/status/1836064591479971894...
[2026-01-07T05:11:18.798Z] Fetching webpage: https://t.co/8lkD4oRDP2...
[2026-01-07T05:11:19.314Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/JuliusSimonelli/status/1834704564618244210?t=HKkY1nxGQvGnNik-hoOkW...
[2026-01-07T05:11:19.734Z] Fetching webpage: https://www.mindprison.cc/i/148326057/capabilities-are-unclear...
[2026-01-07T05:11:20.473Z] Fetching webpage: https://deliprao.substack.com/p/a-few-thoughts-about-o1...
[2026-01-07T05:11:21.048Z] Batch complete, 34 resources still pending
[2026-01-07T05:11:21.085Z] Completed step: fetch_resources in 4918ms
[2026-01-07T05:11:21.215Z] Re-queuing step: fetch_resources for next batch
[2026-01-07T05:11:21.451Z] Starting step: fetch_resources (attempt 1)
[2026-01-07T05:11:21.510Z] Fetching batch of 10 resources (10 pending, 0 retrying)
[2026-01-07T05:11:21.549Z] Fetching webpage: https://openai.com/index/introducing-openai-o1-preview/...
[2026-01-07T05:11:21.599Z] Fetching webpage: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=41540902...
[2026-01-07T05:11:21.742Z] Fetching webpage: https://arcprize.org/blog/openai-o1-results-arc-prize...
[2026-01-07T05:11:22.226Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/rohanpaul_ai/status/1834728874879455250?t=c5YgL2_PhEUKGXqeFn81Ow&s...
[2026-01-07T05:11:22.584Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/emollick/status/1834785685661696062?t=E3Cgf9eYXVeQK7b3HnSVfw&s=03...
[2026-01-07T05:11:23.017Z] Fetching webpage: https://t.co/qgLJZm8CGr...
[2026-01-07T05:11:23.487Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/JuliusSimonelli/status/1834377470856040685?t=vu-39MkFLyVNcoUPy8s9f...
[2026-01-07T05:11:23.876Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/Miles_Brundage/status/1834291595648377091?t=DFITPKBwCtsROoXt8jf7rw...
[2026-01-07T05:11:24.266Z] Fetching webpage: https://t.co/JssF7NRW4e...
[2026-01-07T05:11:24.782Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/ShakeelHashim/status/1834292284193734768?t=NxybnaZbTuvEDjWC-bZBbQ&...
[2026-01-07T05:11:25.142Z] Batch complete, 24 resources still pending
[2026-01-07T05:11:25.174Z] Completed step: fetch_resources in 3689ms
[2026-01-07T05:11:25.265Z] Re-queuing step: fetch_resources for next batch
[2026-01-07T05:11:25.473Z] Starting step: fetch_resources (attempt 1)
[2026-01-07T05:11:25.524Z] Fetching batch of 10 resources (10 pending, 0 retrying)
[2026-01-07T05:11:25.558Z] Fetching webpage: https://arxiv.org/abs/2407.21787...
[2026-01-07T05:11:25.904Z] Fetching webpage: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2406.02061...
[2026-01-07T05:11:26.979Z] Fetching webpage: https://www.maginative.com/article/openai-has-demonstrated-strawberry-ai-capabil...
[2026-01-07T05:11:27.637Z] Fetching webpage: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/8oX4FTRa8MJodArhj/the-information-openai-shows-s...
[2026-01-07T05:11:28.527Z] Fetching webpage: https://www.theinformation.com/articles/openai-shows-strawberry-ai-to-the-feds-a...
[2026-01-07T05:11:28.594Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/emollick/status/1836867501138780517?t=sy2vMyowmfPyJIbV2ndCUw&s=03...
[2026-01-07T05:11:28.977Z] Fetching webpage: https://t.co/DQQ7jn6wWD...
[2026-01-07T05:11:29.488Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/tsarnick/status/1836215965912289306?t=BRvHougHcKEXTLiMSsIF-A&s=03...
[2026-01-07T05:11:29.810Z] Fetching notion: https://www.notion.so/AI-Creativity-and-Problem-Solving-1024c916374a80b7a2d2ddd6...
[2026-01-07T05:11:31.440Z] Fetching notion: https://www.notion.so/AI-Creativity-and-Problem-Solving-1024c916374a80b7a2d2ddd6...
[2026-01-07T05:11:33.665Z] Batch complete, 14 resources still pending
[2026-01-07T05:11:33.697Z] Completed step: fetch_resources in 8193ms
[2026-01-07T05:11:33.805Z] Re-queuing step: fetch_resources for next batch
[2026-01-07T05:11:33.954Z] Starting step: fetch_resources (attempt 1)
[2026-01-07T05:11:34.018Z] Fetching batch of 10 resources (10 pending, 0 retrying)
[2026-01-07T05:11:34.051Z] Fetching notion: https://www.notion.so/1134c916374a80aab9b7c05dbf00c17e...
[2026-01-07T05:11:36.519Z] Fetching webpage: https://t.co/ISCj6QKSxw...
[2026-01-07T05:11:37.095Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/emollick/status/1838240203007205379?t=XWI1JUoHKlmTnrCGWWiMCA&s=03...
[2026-01-07T05:11:37.509Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/emollick/status/1833190390964359321?t=jqookDxXMQCyqYMscFK5Aw&s=03...
[2026-01-07T05:11:37.875Z] Fetching webpage: https://t.co/T7U4G4Aye0...
[2026-01-07T05:11:38.009Z] Fetching webpage: https://t.co/iqOURCHRwI...
[2026-01-07T05:11:38.533Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/emollick/status/1834201561867698210?t=KxOAMlj5DzdnqdbKlEPGLw&s=03...
[2026-01-07T05:11:38.930Z] Fetching webpage: https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/sakana-strawberry-and-scary-ai...
[2026-01-07T05:11:39.547Z] Fetching webpage: https://thezvi.substack.com/p/ai-81-alpha-proteo...
[2026-01-07T05:11:40.207Z] Fetching webpage: https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2024/09/llms-are-creative-reas...
[2026-01-07T05:11:40.883Z] Batch complete, 4 resources still pending
[2026-01-07T05:11:40.912Z] Completed step: fetch_resources in 6918ms
[2026-01-07T05:11:41.007Z] Re-queuing step: fetch_resources for next batch
[2026-01-07T05:11:41.260Z] Starting step: fetch_resources (attempt 1)
[2026-01-07T05:11:41.309Z] Fetching batch of 5 resources (4 pending, 1 retrying)
[2026-01-07T05:11:41.339Z] Retrying (attempt 5/5) tweet: https://x.com/boazbaraktcs/status/1844763538260209818?t=4i54...
[2026-01-07T05:11:41.416Z] HTTP 404 for tweet, scheduling retry 5/5 in 160s
[2026-01-07T05:11:41.447Z] Fetching webpage: https://arxiv.org/abs/2409.04109...
[2026-01-07T05:11:41.753Z] Fetching webpage: https://dynomight.substack.com/p/automated?utm_source=post-email-title...
[2026-01-07T05:11:42.395Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/emollick/status/1846227413832765819?t=DU4wKha8vDElYEJiLBaAtw&s=03...
[2026-01-07T05:11:42.836Z] Fetching tweet: https://x.com/natolambert/status/1848352562161848445?t=yhKma5KRFfIhlBh6sZ_kxQ&s=...
[2026-01-07T05:11:43.253Z] Batch complete, 3 resources waiting for retry (next in 49s)
[2026-01-07T05:11:43.284Z] Completed step: fetch_resources in 1994ms
[2026-01-07T05:11:43.390Z] Re-queuing step: fetch_resources with 49s delay
[2026-01-07T05:12:40.214Z] Starting step: fetch_resources (attempt 1)
[2026-01-07T05:12:40.266Z] Fetching batch of 1 resources (0 pending, 1 retrying)
[2026-01-07T05:12:40.298Z] Retrying (attempt 5/5) tweet: https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/353933/openai-open-letter...
[2026-01-07T05:12:40.393Z] HTTP 404 for tweet, scheduling retry 5/5 in 160s
[2026-01-07T05:12:40.427Z] Batch complete, 3 resources waiting for retry (next in 5s)
[2026-01-07T05:12:40.457Z] Completed step: fetch_resources in 211ms
[2026-01-07T05:12:40.543Z] Re-queuing step: fetch_resources with 5s delay
[2026-01-07T05:12:46.803Z] Starting step: fetch_resources (attempt 1)
[2026-01-07T05:12:46.856Z] Fetching batch of 1 resources (0 pending, 1 retrying)
[2026-01-07T05:12:46.889Z] Retrying (attempt 6/5) tweet: http://pic.twitter.com/b5HXqxcAZv...
[2026-01-07T05:12:46.968Z] HTTP 404 for tweet after 5 retries, marking as failed
[2026-01-07T05:12:47.002Z] Batch complete, 2 resources waiting for retry (next in 95s)
[2026-01-07T05:12:47.037Z] Completed step: fetch_resources in 201ms
[2026-01-07T05:12:47.131Z] Re-queuing step: fetch_resources with 95s delay
[2026-01-07T05:14:30.751Z] Starting step: fetch_resources (attempt 1)
[2026-01-07T05:14:30.803Z] Fetching batch of 1 resources (0 pending, 1 retrying)
[2026-01-07T05:14:30.832Z] Retrying (attempt 6/5) tweet: https://x.com/boazbaraktcs/status/1844763538260209818?t=4i54...
[2026-01-07T05:14:30.919Z] HTTP 404 for tweet after 5 retries, marking as failed
[2026-01-07T05:14:30.955Z] Batch complete, 1 resources waiting for retry (next in 50s)
[2026-01-07T05:14:30.991Z] Completed step: fetch_resources in 209ms
[2026-01-07T05:14:31.084Z] Re-queuing step: fetch_resources with 50s delay
[2026-01-07T05:15:31.040Z] Starting step: fetch_resources (attempt 1)
[2026-01-07T05:15:31.097Z] Fetching batch of 1 resources (0 pending, 1 retrying)
[2026-01-07T05:15:31.131Z] Retrying (attempt 6/5) tweet: https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/353933/openai-open-letter...
[2026-01-07T05:15:31.224Z] HTTP 404 for tweet after 5 retries, marking as failed
[2026-01-07T05:15:31.254Z] All resources fetched
[2026-01-07T05:15:31.288Z] Completed step: fetch_resources in 215ms
[2026-01-07T05:15:31.642Z] Starting step: summarize (attempt 1)
[2026-01-07T05:15:31.702Z] Collecting text from 330 resources
[2026-01-07T05:15:46.268Z] Warning: Could not read text from jobs/9eae613a-6a1e-4d91-9771-1d373676ec78/resources/52a514d00d274a0f.txt
[2026-01-07T05:15:48.685Z] Warning: Could not read text from jobs/9eae613a-6a1e-4d91-9771-1d373676ec78/resources/b761706e206f4ddf.txt
[2026-01-07T05:15:50.743Z] Warning: Could not read text from jobs/9eae613a-6a1e-4d91-9771-1d373676ec78/resources/91012c3a370d4759.txt
[2026-01-07T05:15:55.141Z] Combined text: 526284 words from 265 resources
[2026-01-07T05:15:55.178Z] Combined text truncated from 526284 to 50000 words
[2026-01-07T05:15:55.403Z] Calling claude-opus-4-5-20251101 for 500-word summary (312148 chars input)
[2026-01-07T05:16:24.032Z] Summary generated: 662 words (75766 input tokens, 941 output tokens)
[2026-01-07T05:16:24.066Z] Completed step: summarize in 52390ms
[2026-01-07T05:16:24.192Z] Job completed successfully

LLM Invocations (Total: $0.4024)

Time Purpose Model Duration Outcome Input Output Cost
09:16 PM Generate summaries claude-opus-4-5-20251101 28.2s Success Input (75,766) Output (941) $0.4024

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